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Times & Trends: Every Number Tells a Story

Feb. 3, 2017
Housing data in this month’s Residential Market 101 report show some metros with explosive growth and others coping with big losses.

The  first installment of EW’s popular Electrical Markets 101 series on the residential market (see "Residential Market 101") highlights some interesting market data that shapes and measures the growth of the homebuilding industry. Some of the numbers in the data surprised EW’s editors, and we would like to share them with you here.

27% of one market’s residents didn’t live there just five years ago. In The Villages, FL MSA, the fastest-growing retirement community in the country, 21 out of every 100 residents didn’t live there back in 2010. No other MSA came near that sort of growth.

72,887. Every time I see that number in the U.S. Census Dept.’s 2015 annual total for the number of building permits for 5 units or more that were pulled in the New York-Newark-Jersey City,  NY-NJ-PA MSA, I think it’s a typo. This is a massive, densely populated market area that covers three states, from the North Fork of Long Island; through the five boroughs of New York and Westchester County; much of the northern New Jersey suburbs; and over the Delaware River and into Pennsylvania’s Pocono Mountains.

A big chunk of this incredible number of multi-family housing units were accounted for by new skyscraping condo towers on the island of Manhattan.  But the surge has ended. Through Nov. 2016, the most recent data available, this MSA’s multi-family permit count is down a whopping -58%, in large part a victim to the expiration of New York’s 421 – a state tax incentive for multi-family housing construction that expired last year.

The old 80-20 rule. The 100 MSAs with the most multi-family building permits account for 82% of the total multi-family activity (through Nov. 2016). In total, U.S. builders pulled 406,000 permits in this category and the Top 100 accounted for approximately 333,000 of them.

18 sunny Sunbelt markets rule the Top 25 markets for single-family housing starts. While big markets in the Northeast like New York and Philadelphia are also on this list because of their sheer size, it continues to amaze EW’s editors that so much of the residential construction activity is in the Sunbelt, or states known for their sunny or cloud-free climates, like Arizona, Colorado and Nevada.  The states with the most MSAs in the Top 25 were Florida (4 MSAs), Texas (4 MSAs) and California (3 MSAs).

Dozens of sales opportunities in new-tech products for the home. While putting together this issue on the residential market, Executive Editor Doug Chandler had the opportunity to think about some of the newer products distributors may one day may sell into the home of the future (see "Homes Get Smart") — things like Elon Musk’s Tesla PowerWall and Tesla Solar Roof; electric vehicle chargers; Amazon’s Alexa-controlled Echo speaker; Google Home; Philips’ Wifi-enabled Hue Home Dimming System; Osram’s tunable Lightify LEDs; and the interactive Nest thermostat. Some of these products may seem a bit out there, but then again five years ago so did LED lighting systems that you can control from your smartphone.

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