Residential Rebound?

July 21, 2009
Housing Starts Post Gain in May

Nationwide housing starts rebounded in May from record lows in the previous month, posting a 17.2 percent gain to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 532,000 units, according to U.S. Commerce Department figures released on June 16. Driven largely by a double-digit gain in the multi-family sector, the uptick also reflected a substantial gain on the single-family side of the housing market and applied consistently to all regions of the country.

“Having drawn down standing inventories to very thin levels over the past year, some home builders are now carefully replenishing their supplies in response to demand from smart buyers who are taking advantage of low interest rates and prices,” said Joe Robson, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) and a home builder from Tulsa, Okla.

The report showed three consecutive months of gains in single-family housing starts and two consecutive months of gains in single-family permits is a very welcome sign that the market may be nearing a turning point, said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. “That said, our recent surveys tell us that builders remain very cautious about the future, and that they are aware of the upcoming expiration of the first-time buyer tax credit at the end of November. Homes that get started now should be able to close by that deadline, and this may be spurring some of the latest construction activity.”

Single-family housing starts gained 7.5 percent in May, breaking the 400,000 mark for the first time since November 2008 to reach a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 401,000 units. Meanwhile, starts in the volatile multi-family sector posted a 77 percent gain following a nearly equivalent decline in the previous month for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 124,000 units.

Building permit issuance rose 4 percent overall in May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 518,000 units. On the single-family side, permits rose 7.9 percent to 408,000 units, while on the multi-family side, they declined 8.3 percent to 110,000 units.

Both housing starts and permits were up across every region in May. Starts rose 2 percent in the Northeast, 11.1 percent in the Midwest, 16.8 percent in the South and 28.6 percent in the West.